Great analysis! I wonder about recovery of the price to pre-injury level. From your plots, it seems like the price only recovers to some <100% of the pre-injury price, and I wonder if there is any correlation to what that percent price recovery is, or average number of days for full price recovery? I suppose it probably depends on how the player performs/scores post recovery, so the scoring aspect around injuries could be another interesting tangential topic.
In my view (without data), just my opinion is that the injured player have a really fast sell off but just a few days later, maybe 5-7 days they are already at their bottom price and start rising again. Even when they are out for many months. When you look for expamlpe at Lukas Nmecha (Wolfsburg). He still played in the middle of december, got injured, broke his ankle and it looked like he is out for the rest of season and that were on the news! Not my speculation. But his bottom price was already a few days later and is already above his price when he played although he isnt fit again.
Sorry for my bad english. It's obviously not my native language and i was pretty bad in school haha
About the recovery price. Don't you think that it can depend also from the player "status"? I mean, a "superstar" it's more likely to regain faster his spot in the starting lineup. In the other hand one "Tier 3" can risk to lose his spot if in the time he is outside some other player shows better performances. What do you think?
Great analysis! I wonder about recovery of the price to pre-injury level. From your plots, it seems like the price only recovers to some <100% of the pre-injury price, and I wonder if there is any correlation to what that percent price recovery is, or average number of days for full price recovery? I suppose it probably depends on how the player performs/scores post recovery, so the scoring aspect around injuries could be another interesting tangential topic.
Hi, very interesting article!
In my view (without data), just my opinion is that the injured player have a really fast sell off but just a few days later, maybe 5-7 days they are already at their bottom price and start rising again. Even when they are out for many months. When you look for expamlpe at Lukas Nmecha (Wolfsburg). He still played in the middle of december, got injured, broke his ankle and it looked like he is out for the rest of season and that were on the news! Not my speculation. But his bottom price was already a few days later and is already above his price when he played although he isnt fit again.
Sorry for my bad english. It's obviously not my native language and i was pretty bad in school haha
About the recovery price. Don't you think that it can depend also from the player "status"? I mean, a "superstar" it's more likely to regain faster his spot in the starting lineup. In the other hand one "Tier 3" can risk to lose his spot if in the time he is outside some other player shows better performances. What do you think?